Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.003882 0.004080 0.004283 0.004508 0.004749 0.005000 0.005282
2025-08-03 0.003515 0.003806 0.004117 0.004476 0.004878 0.005319 0.005839
2025-08-10 0.003278 0.003620 0.003995 0.004441 0.004957 0.005541 0.006256
2025-08-17 0.003163 0.003550 0.003985 0.004514 0.005144 0.005879 0.006808
2025-08-24 0.003020 0.003434 0.003909 0.004497 0.005215 0.006072 0.007188
2025-08-31 0.002891 0.003325 0.003829 0.004467 0.005260 0.006228 0.007520
2025-09-07 0.002763 0.003209 0.003735 0.004409 0.005263 0.006325 0.007777
2025-09-14 0.002648 0.003102 0.003644 0.004348 0.005254 0.006403 0.008007
2025-09-21 0.002576 0.003044 0.003609 0.004354 0.005328 0.006587 0.008382
2025-09-28 0.002446 0.002908 0.003471 0.004221 0.005214 0.006515 0.008400
2025-10-05 0.002384 0.002855 0.003435 0.004218 0.005269 0.006667 0.008736
2025-10-12 0.002357 0.002845 0.003453 0.004284 0.005416 0.006951 0.009273
2025-10-19 0.002287 0.002777 0.003395 0.004246 0.005423 0.007041 0.009535
2025-10-26 0.002224 0.002718 0.003345 0.004218 0.005441 0.007147 0.009826
2025-11-02 0.002164 0.002659 0.003293 0.004186 0.005450 0.007239 0.010098
2025-11-09 0.002146 0.002656 0.003315 0.004254 0.005602 0.007545 0.010719
2025-11-16 0.002099 0.002611 0.003278 0.004238 0.005633 0.007671 0.011063
2025-11-23 0.002049 0.002561 0.003234 0.004210 0.005643 0.007766 0.011357
2025-11-30 0.001992 0.002501 0.003174 0.004157 0.005614 0.007796 0.011545
2025-12-07 0.001938 0.002442 0.003113 0.004101 0.005577 0.007813 0.011709
2025-12-14 0.001907 0.002416 0.003096 0.004106 0.005633 0.007977 0.012135
2025-12-21 0.001834 0.002329 0.002993 0.003984 0.005489 0.007816 0.011982
2025-12-28 0.001804 0.002301 0.002972 0.003981 0.005529 0.007951 0.012361